PDM 2.0': What options should be considered in the event of an alliance between Muslim League-N and People's Party?
Although the independent candidates supported by Tehreek-e-Insaaf have won the lead according to the inconclusive results of the federal election so far, however, contacts between Pakistan Muslim League-N and People's Party have started.
According to the Election Commission, independent candidates supported by Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf have so far managed to win 93 seats in the National Assembly, while the Pakistan Muslim League-N has won 74 seats. Pakistan People's Party has won 54 National Assembly seats across the country so far while Muttahida Qaumi Movement Pakistan has won 17 seats.
Now that no party has a simple majority, what will be the outline of a possible coalition government?
Pakistan Muslim League-N leader Nawaz Sharif announced victory in the elections and asked his younger brother Shahbaz Shahrif to negotiate with Pakistan People's Party, Muttahida Qaumi Movement Pakistan, Jamiat Ulema Islam and other parties to form the government. The task is being given.
On the other hand, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf Chairman Barrister Gohar Khan has also claimed to win the majority of seats in the National Assembly and announced that his party will form the government in Federation, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Punjab.
It has been said by both the Muslim League-N and the People's Party that formal talks for government formation have not started yet.
It should be noted that before the election, the Election Commission declared the intra-party election of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf null and void, after which the election symbol was taken from the party of former Prime Minister Imran Khan and his people ran as an independent candidate in the election. Has participated.
Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf has indicated that its winning independent candidates may join a small political party in the assemblies to get reserved seats (for women and minorities) and form governments.
Pakistan Muslim League-N, Pakistan Peoples Party, Muttahida Qaumi Movement, Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam and other parties have been in government for almost one and a half years after the end of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf government in 2022.
This government was also called as Pakistan Democratic Movement. So far no party has announced to form the government together with Pakistan Muslim League-N.
During the election campaign, Pakistan Muslim League-N, Pakistan People's Party, Jamiat Ulema Islam and Muttahida Qaumi Movement Pakistan were seen criticizing each other.
However, now that no party has a simple majority, what will be the outline of a possible coalition government?
We have not had any contact with PTI bloc so far: Bilawal Bhutto
On the meeting of Asif Zardari and Shehbaz Sharif in Lahore, Chairman People's Party Bilawal Bhutto Zardari said that there has been no discussion with any political party including Pakistan Muslim League-N regarding their government formation.
Bilawal Bhutto Zardari while talking to private channel Geo News on Saturday said that 'Pakistan People's Party has not had any formal discussion with PML-N, PTI or any other political party so far. '
Bilawal Bhutto Zardari further said that 'We are waiting for the counting of all the constituencies to be completed and the results to be revealed.'
Before the elections, the Central Executive Committee of the Pakistan People's Party nominated Bilawal Bhutto Zardari as the Prime Minister's candidate. In this regard, he said, "If we have to change this decision, we will once again call the Central Executive Committee and take this decision together."
Bilawal Bhutto Zardari said that he wishes to try to establish 'political consensus' in the country because according to him, no government will be able to deliver without establishing consensus.
He further said that some independents are definitely in touch with us, but we have not had any contact with the PTI bloc so far.
Regarding government formation, the spokesperson of Pakistan Muslim League-N, Maryam Aurangzeb, told the media that there has been no final discussion on the formation of a government together with the Pakistan People's Party and the 'discussions are still in the initial stages.
How different will the new government be from the previous regime of the Pakistan Democratic Movement?
No official announcement has been made by any political party regarding government formation yet. Questions are being raised that these parties who criticized each other during the election campaign will once again be seen in the coalition government and how different will the new government be from the previous regime of the Pakistan Democratic Movement?
Haider Abbas Rizvi, the leader of Muttahida Qaumi Movement Pakistan, while talking about the issues of government formation, told BBC Urdu that 'Shehbaz Sharif's call came to Khalid Maqbool Siddiqui brother last night and he has invited for a discussion.
Haider Abbas Rizvi said on a question regarding PML-N's joining the government, "First it should be decided whether PML-N is really going to form the government or not?"
He added that it would be too early for him to say anything as even the independent candidates have to see where they go and the situation is still unclear. Delhi is still far away.
Analysts who have a close eye on politics in Pakistan say that they do not think that any government will be successful without talking to the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf.
Lahore-based journalist and analyst Ajmal Jami told the BBC that 'after Nawaz Sharif's speech, it seems that PDM is going to be 0.2, but the important question here is whether PDM is going to happen. M's first government could have brought political and economic stability to the country? The answer is no.
According to him, the members supported by Imran Khan's party have managed to win majority seats and will continue to harass the PDM government.
Ajmal Jami says that "Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf will be the government in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and the personalities required by other provinces will remain there as royal guests." It is as if two governments are running in the country.
The ball is in Asif Zardari's court.
Ajmal Jami believes that former President Asif Ali Zardari will play a major role in forming the new government.
The ball is now in Asif Ali Zardari's court. The question is, will he ask for the prime ministership for his son Bilawal Bhutto Zardari? I am informed that this may happen.
According to Ajmal Jami, there are many formulas of government formation currently circulating, one of which is that Pakistan People's Party and Pakistan Muslim League-N should rule for two and a half years.
He says that this formula is also circulating that Bilawal Bhutto Zardari should be made the Prime Minister and Shahbaz Sharif or Maryam Nawaz should be made the Chief Minister of Punjab.
Regarding the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf, he said that 'political leaders will also have to talk to Imran Khan and it is also necessary for them to talk to the rest of the people in the better interest of the country.'
Will the PDM government be able to bring political stability to the country?
Salman Ghani, another analyst who has a close eye on the politics of Punjab, says that in his opinion, political stability will not come even after the new PDM government comes to the country.
He told that 'Barrister Gauhar has announced a protest outside the offices of the reviewing officers and this is not his personal opinion but the opinion of the party.
If this is the sign of political stability, it is my journalistic opinion that the elections will come soon again.
Commenting on the talks between the Pakistan People's Party and the Pakistan Muslim League-N, Salman Ghani said, "According to my information, the matters between the two parties have been settled, but Shahbaz Sharif said that he will discuss these matters with Nawaz Sharif." Will take approval.'
He further said that 'It may happen that Shahbaz Sharif can be the Prime Minister and Asif Zadari can be the President.
Or it could also be that Nawaz Sharif is the president and the prime minister is from the Pakistan People's Party.
They think that Shahbaz Sharif's chances of becoming the prime minister are brighter.
Shahbaz Sharif has said in the past that if his party gets a simple majority, Nawaz Sharif will be the prime minister.
Arifa Noor, a journalist and analyst associated with Dawn News, says that "Shahbaz Sharif himself has said that if a coalition government is formed, the decision of the candidate for the prime ministership will be made through consultation."
On the alliance of Pakistan Muslim League-N and Pakistan People's Party, Arifa Noor says that 'it seems that they are coming together not by themselves but at someone's request.'
